Statistics, systems and strategies for Bets and Bets
“Upsets” is a feature that will help you to see how often and when the upsets happen considering a specific league.
First of all, please Google about “Gambler’s fallacy”. Mainly is the mistaken belief that if something happens more frequently than normal during some period, then it will happen less frequently in the future, or that if something happens less frequently than normal during some period, then it will happen more frequently in the future.
The main question here is “This theory is applying in football betting?”. My answer in “NOT”, at least when search for future upsets, but I will not develop the subject here. Please see my thread on Punters Lounge forum
Now, the idea is to find some possible future upsets based on past results.
Click the “UPSETS” button on the menu bar and then select France, first league. Select “Underdogs not lost” and “the odds for favourite less then” 1.50.
Please follow the colour code. The possible upsets in the past are highlighted with yellow and the effective upsets are highlighted with bright yellow. The possible future upsets are highlighted with green.
Here we have not the entire picture, but we can see that there are already 8 possible upsets games without an upset to happen. This number “8” are pretty large number if check in the past for this league.
We have 2 possible upsets this week : Lyon - Caen and Guincamp - PSG.
Of course here is needed more information and deeper analyses but at first sight it is worth to try 1 unit for each underdog - AH(+0.5) The odds are around 2.75
Please note: this is just an example. You have to make your own analyse and to bet accordingly.